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NOVEMBER 18,  2021

SHORT TAKES ON THE DRIFTING WRECKAGE – OVERNIGHT:

BAD NEWS FOR BIDEN KEEPS COMING – FROM BREITBART:  Joe Biden’s job approval rating has sunk to 36 percent in the latest poll from left-wing Quinnipiac, and the Republican party is up eight points on the generic congressional ballot.  Keep in mind that Quinnipiac is an infamously left-wing pollster. So anything Quinnipiac can do to juice a poll in favor of Democrats, Quinnipiac will do. And still, this poll is ALL bad news for Democrats.  In an open-ended question, allowing for any answer, Americans were asked what they thought was the most important problem facing the country today. Americans’ most frequent responses are…  • Division/Polarization: 11 percent;  • The economy: 10 percent;  • Immigration/Border security: 8 percent;  • Inflation/High cost of living: 8 percent.  Americans were asked which party would do the best job handling the problem they mentioned: a plurality (46 percent) say the Republican party, 35 percent say the Democratic party, and 18 percent did not offer an opinion.  The Republican party is up by double digits, by 11 points on the most important issues to voters.  On the generic congressional ballot, the GOP is up eight among all adults (46-38 percent) and up five (46-41 percent) among registered voters.  I don’t think we’ve ever seen numbers like that in favor of the GOP.  Great.  But let me again be the party pooper.  Those are today's numbers, but the midterm elections are a year away.  Now the Republicans must run as if they're 20 points behind.  No overconfidence.  No smugness.  Ready for combat every day.  We'll celebrate after the numbers actually come in.

November 18, 2021       Permalink

ANOTHER DEM DISASTER – OVERNIGHT:  Republicans have overtaken Democrats in registered voters in the critical state of Florida.  The implications of this, both in next year's midterms and in the 2024 presidential election, are enormous.  From Bloomberg: 

Florida now has more registered Republicans than Democrats, undoing the Democratic party’s decades-old advantage in the nation’s largest swing state. 

Registered Republicans total around 5.1 million active voters as of the end of October, edging Democrats by around 4,000, according to the latest figures published by the Florida Division of Elections.

Florida has long attracted conservative-leaning retirees, though many hail from Democratic bastions such as New York. The southern state also was a migration destination during the pandemic for younger, working-age people seeking to avoid Covid-19 restrictions and register children at in-person schools, but it’s less clear how significant their numbers are.

The shifts are driven to a significant degree by the purging of voter rolls that typically takes place after an election year -- removing the deceased and those who have moved, as well as those who have failed to vote in two general elections and were unresponsive to state correspondence.

Election margins are typically very close in Florida, but the Sunshine State has consistently elected Republicans as governor since the early 1990s. Democrats have also lost Florida in two straight presidential elections, with the margin worsening in 2020.

COMMENT:  The statistical change also puts the focus on Florida's Republican Governor Ron DeSantis, a probable presidential contender for 2024 should Trump decide not to run.  If Republicans can nail down Florida early, it will give them a fast advantage in running their 2024 national campaign. 

Also, Republicans, buoyed by success in Florida, are no longer automatically conceding California to the Dems.  Although winning the largest state in the presidential contest is still a long shot, there are areas of California that are moving rightward, in response to the state's horrible Democratic leadership and degraded living conditions.  California is also suffering an exodus of voters, who often prefer red states because of lower taxes and better conditions.  If California gets wobbly for the Dems, it would be a political earthquake. Caused by global warming, of course.

November 18, 2021       Permalink

NOVEMBER 17,  2021

SHORT TAKES ON THE DRIFTING WRECKAGE – OVERNIGHT:

HOW MUCH HANDWRITING ON THE WALL DO WE NEED? – FROM FOX:   An endorsement from former President Obama and House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn in reliably blue Columbia, South Carolina was not enough to push the city’s Democratic mayoral candidate over the finish line. Republican mayoral candidate Daniel Rickenmann, a businessman and Columbia city council member, defeated Democrat Tameika Isaac Devine by a margin of 52% to 48% on Tuesday night in Columbia, which sits in a county that President Biden carried by almost 40 points in 2020.   Former President Obama, according to Washington Free Beacon, released an audio message in support of Devine, and the former president carried the city’s county by 29 points in 2008 and 33 points in 2012.  Rep. Clyburn, one of the most prominent Democrats in both the South and the Black community, who many believe saved President Biden’s flailing 2020 campaign with his endorsement, also endorsed Devine.  My heart breaks for the dear Democrats.  If they'd occasionally listen more to the people and less to the "I love Lenin" fan club, they'd be much better off.

November 17, 2021       Permalink

THE WARNINGS ABOUT CHINA ARE COMING EVERY DAY, BUT FEW IN THE DYING LEGACY MEDIA SEEM TO CARE – FROM THE NEW YORK POST:   

The second-ranking general in the US military has sounded the alarm about China’s weapons development — warning that Beijing may soon have the capability to launch a surprise nuclear strike against America.

“They look like a first-use weapon,” Gen. John Hyten, the vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, told CBS News Tuesday. “That’s what those weapons look like to me.”

Hyten was discussing China’s test of a hypersonic weapon from this summer, which was first reported by the Financial Times last month.

“They launched a long-range missile,” Hyten said. “It went around the world, dropped off a hypersonic glide vehicle that glided all the way back to China, that impacted a target in China.”

When asked whether the vehicle had hit the intended target, Hyten answered, “Close enough.”
Gen. John Hyten, pictured above in 2019, spoke to CBS News on Tuesday about China’s weaponry.

Hyten’s Tuesday interview came after a Monday night virtual meeting between President Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping. It was not clear whether the two discussed the hypersonic test, though Biden expressed concern about it when the initial report emerged last month.

China has pledged since 1964 that it would not be the first party in a conflict to use nuclear weapons.

The South China Morning Post reported in October that Beijing had reiterated its “no first use” policy, despite some officials urging a rethink.

The United States has repeatedly refused to adopt a “no first use” policy, but has vowed not to use nukes against countries that do not have them.

Last month, Hyten warned that China could soon surpass America’s military capability “if we don’t do something to change it.”

“What you need to be worried about is that in the last five years, or maybe longer, the United States has done nine hypersonic missile tests, and in the same time the Chinese have done hundreds,” he said.

“The pace they’re moving and the trajectory they’re on will surpass Russia and the United States if we don’t do something to change it,” Hyten added. “It will happen.”

COMMENT:  There are people in the United States, some of them "experts," who still believe that the Japanese could never reach Pearl Harbor and that Nazi Germany has been misunderstood.  Eisenhower warned that modern warfare is so fast that we must be especially prepared to counter an attack immediately.  I'm not sure that, despite 9-11, Americans have learned that lesson.  The national defense Democrats of old no longer exist.  The Republicans wake up occasionally, but not enough possess a sense of urgency.

We may, sadly, have to experience another catastrophe to get our brains in order.

November 17, 2021       Permalink